Decoding the Market's Hidden Triad: The Bitcoin Dollar bias

Applying the Bitcoin-Dollar Bias to Track Market Movements Across Currencies

Previously on Murim trading…

Now back to the present…

Yow, what it do my financially educated grasshoppers?

Welcome back to the lab. Today, we continue our experiment. We set our hypothesis, now it's time to check in and see how things are playing out. Let us go to library this is gonna be a long conversation.

Before anything else, i want you to look at this chart it will make sense as we continue

If we take a look at what's happening here, the first thing you’ll notice is the top-side liquidity, as marked by the green arrow. Pay attention to how the highs keep getting lower. If you want to see how the market plays games, watch the volume when price touches support and resistance—it dries up, does that little consolidation dance, then zips off in a direction.

Another key thing? Its biome. Unlike its inverse EUR/USD, USD/CHF follows more of a river biome, with short consolidations followed by sharp, direct moves. Also, note that the last fakeout didn’t go as low as the previous one—a sign that price is likely about to leave its current support and resistance range.

…Anyway, the point is—it’s going up.

I showed you that so we can keep Pythagoras' type strategy in mind. We’re using EUR/USD, USD/CHF, and BTC/USD to predict each other, so now let’s check in on our guest of honor.

and then

The first thing you’ll surely notice? The chart looks familiar—because we called this move on the 17th. Look at the volume, and you’ll see a pattern in its fluctuations. Every time a lower high forms, volume dries up before spiking on the following down move. That tells us this isn't random price action—it’s the mythical Sock Puppet Man (aka the big banks and market controllers) at work.

Now, onto the final piece of our puzzle.

In the introduction to this experiment, I showed you our continuous BTC/USD chart analysis. Last time we checked in, it was trending down, looking like it might form a higher low. Now that we’re back? It’s broken the previous highest high.

drawn-out consolidations, no hesitation. Meanwhile, the dollar took a nose dive, and according to our predictions, it’s not done yet. There's an FVG (Fair Value Gap) it still needs to hit by the EUR/USD before deciding whether to bounce or break through then we’ll come back and see if this sorcery is correct

Now, there’s a fourth member in this little future-testing trifecta of ours—another pair that fits into the equation. But that? That’s gonna cost you… hehe

Anyway that is it for this part of the experiment, so far so good seems they are inverse for now but lets see the reaction that EUR/USD bounce will get us, then give it some days and check again

Stay sharp, grasshoppers and remember Im still The Professor, stay groovy